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Moody’s Analytics Forecasts Global GDP Growth to Slow to 2.4% in 2025-2026, with Outlook Tilting to Downside
The global economy is becoming increasingly fragile, Stefan Angrick, a senior economist at Moody’s Analytics, warned. He highlighted a slowdown in the U.S., weakness in Europ...
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Moody’s Analytics Forecasts Global GDP Growth to Slow to 2.4% in 2025-2026, with Outlook Tilting to Downside
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The global economy is becoming increasingly fragile, Stefan Angrick, a senior economist at Moody’s Analytics, warned. He highlighted a slowdown in the U.S., weakness in Europe, and China’s growth meeting targets but falling short of expectations. Uncertainty stemming from U.S. tariffs and escalating trade tensions is unsettling markets and eroding confidence among businesses and consumers.

Angrick anticipated that U.S. monetary policy will remain intact until the end of 3Q25, while Europe and Asia are expected to cut interest rates. Japan, despite economic challenges, was projected to tighten its policies. In Europe, upcoming German elections and waning U.S. support for Ukraine are reshaping the region’s outlook, with growing momentum for increased fiscal flexibility. Meanwhile, China’s Two Sessions signaled a stronger focus on boosting domestic demand.

Angrick forecast the global GDP growth to decelerate from 2.7% in 2024 to 2.4% in both 2025 and 2026, with risks around the outlook tilting to the downside.
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